Super Short Summary

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner explores the Good Judgment Project’s study on the accuracy of predictions made by non-experts called "superforecasters." The book characterizes these individuals by their openness, continuous self-improvement, moderate intelligence, and effectiveness in teamwork. It contrasts foxlike thinkers, who excel in forecasting due to their adaptability, with hedgehoglike thinkers and outlines methods for achieving better forecasting practices.